In the light of recent developments and with Assad in a position of strength, and Russia in the driving seat, Joris Couvreur looks ahead attempting to outline the way forward considering the interests of the major actors. Will the ceasefire last and will the peace process gain momentum?
Following the 2016 ‘State of the Union’ speech, Sandy Johnston argues that President Juncker has not heeded any of the lessons from Brexit, especially as they relate to the migration crisis and defence policy.
The NATO Summit in Warsaw was a watershed moment for the Alliance. Yet, deeds, not words, are what really count. Dominik Jankowski argues that on its road from the Summit in Warsaw to the Summit in Brussels in 2017 NATO should embrace five strategic issues.
The recent NATO commitment to position troops in the Baltic states follows several years of Russian aggression, with NATO previously reluctant to make such a commitment. The move is seen as a symbolic gesture of support for the region; however, the commitment is not seen as a significant challenge to Russia’s military strength and question marks remain about whether it will act as a significant act of deterrence.
The West’s response to the democratic backsliding occurring in Turkey under Erdogan (which is accelerating post-coup) should be the steadfast support of bottom-up democratisation efforts in Turkey. However, if the West decides that strategic interests in Turkey trump liberal principles, its weakening liberal international order will be hit further and hasten the arrival of a post-Western order.
In this ‘Standpoint’, James Rogers and Luis Simón analyse the potential consequences of the United Kingdom’s referendum to leave the European Union, arguing that the consequences might not be so dramatic as often alleged, particularly if carefully-considered political and strategic thinking is adopted in London and Brussels.
Against the backdrop of the recent commemorations of the Battle of the Somme, Sandy Johnston reflects on the UK’s decision to leave the European Union and on the need for Britain’s leaders to bring an historical perspective to bear on the plan moving forward.
The decentralised and democratic nature of the Western alliance has provided Russia with an opportunity to claim the informational advantage with regard to its information wars in Crimea and Syria, highlighting the urgency with which institutional transformations must be embraced.
As the EU prepares to launch its Global Strategy, it remains beset with internal problems. But it is the perception and attitudes of external actors which will, to a large extent, determine the success of the strategy. What do non-Europeans think of the EU’s current and future role in the world?
Against the background of Moscow’s historical ties with Syria, Joris Couvreur critically assesses Russia’s recent surprise military intervention in the conflict in Syria, especially with respect to achieving a durable peaceful settlement.